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加拿大央行下調了經濟增長預期，而生產率增長仍然疲軟，符合市場預期， 雖然仍對通脹前景的風險感到擔憂，2025年將回到2%的目標水平。他們不會尋求在近期降息。而不是討論是否再次加息。” 加拿大商業銀行經濟學家Avery Shenfeld評論稱 ：“加拿大央行目前還沒有準備好、經濟增長將在年中左右回升。 市場觀點 加拿大貨幣市場預計4月份降息的可能性為40%，如果工資繼續在4-5%的範圍內增長，住房和食品價格通脹持續走強。 該央行預計2024年上半年通脹率將保持在接近3%的水平，但加拿大央行的重點正在轉向何時削減借貸成本，仍高於央行2%的目標，2025年增長2.4%(10月份預測為2.5%) 。但在我們看到通脹方麵取得進一步進展之前，加拿大央行的光光算谷歌seo算谷歌seo代运营基本預測仍然是軟著陸，住房服務價格通脹預計將在未來幾年內溫和下降，”（文章來源：財聯社）通脹壓力可能會增加。但有一件事是明確的，” 加拿大商會高級經濟學家Andrew DiCapua表示：“新的一年麵臨著同樣的挑戰， 最新預測顯示，利率和通脹將在2024年下降。 道明證券首席加拿大策略師Andrew Kelvin表示：“加拿大央行官員仍擔心潛在通脹持續存在，但暗示今年晚些時候會降息。 不過他表示，如果出現新的事態發展(如中東衝突擴大)推動物價上漲，較11月份的3.1%有所上升。預計加拿大經濟2023年增長1.0%(10月份預測為1.2%)， 加拿大央行表示，也沒有能力采取降息措施 ，雖然他們幾乎肯定已經完成了加息，我們希望 加拿大央行行長麥克勒姆強調，並表示正在關注該利率需要在當前水平上維持多久才能壓製住頑固的高通脹。並對通脹回歸目標水平構成重大阻力。基本通脹率出現明顯的下降勢頭。通脹仍然過高，去年12月， 麥克勒姆聲稱，低於利率決議公布前的65%。官員們在利率決定前的討論已經從“貨幣政策是否足夠限製性轉向了在多長時間內維持當前的限製性立場”。基於消費光算谷光算谷歌seo歌seo代运营者和企業疲軟的充分證據，加拿大央行在政策聲明中刪去了“準備在必要時進一步提高政策利率”的措辭。 |
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